Peaceful Gains Newsletters » Commentary

Bonds

Alex — Mon, 06 Sep 2010 20:07:36 +0000

Bonds (F Fund) remain the strongest of the TSP funds, though they have weakened since mid-August. Foreign stocks (I Fund) have taken off, but the jump might not be sustainable. Stay away from the other two stock funds. (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Gold ($GLD)

Alex — Mon, 06 Sep 2010 20:05:06 +0000

This week, gold (GLD) remains the strongest of the funds that we follow, though it is slightly weaker than it was last week. The trend in government bonds (TLT) looks strong, but they could be overbought. In fact, they have weakened noticeably over the past week. The Malaysian market (EWM) appears to be in an unstable uptrend which has strengthened over the past week. Corporate bonds (LQD) have a low risk, but, like government bonds, they could be overbought. Stay away from semiconductor stocks (SMH), Austria (EWO), and energy (XLE). (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Gold strengthens

Alex — Sun, 29 Aug 2010 17:39:06 +0000

Gold (GLD) is even stronger this week. Though government bonds (TLT) are in a strong uptrend too, they could be overbought. The uptrend in the Malaysian market (EWM) is about as strong as it is in gold, but it’s clearly riskier. Corporate bonds (LQD) have a low risk, though, like government bonds, they could be overbought. Stay away from financials (XLF), Austria (EWO), and semiconductor stocks (SMH). (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Gold attractive again

Alex — Mon, 23 Aug 2010 01:46:58 +0000

Gold (GLD) is the only fund of the ones that we follow that’s in a stable uptrend. Though it is somewhat risky, so we recommend only putting some of the money into it. While gold has weakened a bit recently, it remains strong relative to other funds. Other funds with a high expected return include government bonds (TLT), as well as corporate bonds (LQD), and Malaysia (EWM), though all three are unstable. Stay away from Austria (EWO), financials (XLF), and energy (XLE). (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Back in bonds

Alex — Mon, 16 Aug 2010 02:13:01 +0000

With the fall in stocks, only bonds (F Fund) are trending up. In fact, their expected return has improved. On the other hand, small-cap stocks (S Fund), which we recommended last time, are doing very poorly. Stay away from all three stock funds. (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Real estate and more

Alex — Mon, 16 Aug 2010 02:11:35 +0000

Real estate (IYR) looks like the best pick this week. Government bonds (TLT), which we’re recommended over the past few weeks, are doing very well too, but not as well as real estate. Malaysia (EWM) is doing basically as well real estate, but has a lower risk. Gold (GLD) is also a good investment, but not as good as either real estate or Malaysia right now. The only fund with a lower risk than Malaysia is corporate bonds (LQD). Stay away from Japan (EWJ), Austria (EWO), and energy (XLE). (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Bonds stable

Alex — Sun, 08 Aug 2010 22:07:15 +0000

Government bonds (TLT) have the strongest long-term trend of the investments that we follow. Their uptrend has actually weakened slightly as they were flat during the past week. The Malaysian market (EWM) has a similarly strong uptrend though with a noticably higher risk; Malaysia has improved over the past week. Gold (GLD) is another good investment to consider. Corporate bonds (LQD), though they have a clearly lower expected return than government bonds, also have a lower risk. Stay away from biotech (IBB), financials (XLF), and Japan (EWJ). (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Strength in stocks

Alex — Sun, 01 Aug 2010 18:55:29 +0000

All three stock funds look strong now, with small-cap stocks (S Fund) leading the pack. Though foreign stocks (I Fund) have a lower expected return, they, together with bonds (F Fund), have a low risk. Large-cap stocks (C Fund) have the third highest expected return. (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Government and corporate bonds

Alex — Sun, 01 Aug 2010 18:50:51 +0000

Government bonds (TLT) are once again the best investment of the ones that we follow. The Malaysian market (EWM) has a clearly lower expected return and a higher risk. The expected return for real estate stocks (IYR) is lower still, and their risk is a lot higher. The only fund with a risk lower than that of government bonds is corporate bonds (LQD), and they have a decent expected return as well. Stay away from biotech (IBB), energy (XLE), and Japan (EWJ). (follow: facebook, rss.)

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Gov’t bonds still best investment

Alex — Mon, 26 Jul 2010 01:46:45 +0000

Government bonds (TLT), though a little weaker this week than they were last week, remain the best available investment. The Malaysian market (EWM) is trending up — while it is too risky at the moment, it’s visibly improved since last week. Corporate bonds (LQD) are also in an uptrend and have very little risk right now. Stay away from Austria (EWO), energy (XLE), and biotech (IBB). Though Austria has improved a little since last week, it remains the worst investment of the ones that we follow. (follow: facebook, rss.)

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